Forecast

Article
February
U.S. drilling enters 2026 with fewer rigs but resilient production, as operators prioritize capital discipline, consolidation and LNG-driven gas demand. Regional trends across shale and offshore basins point to steady output, measured investment and a continued shift toward efficiency over expansion. 
Article
February
While the U.S. market remains flat, international E&P remains a source of optimism, with a number of large-scale and long-term projects under way in some places. Out of eight regions, seven will have increased drilling during 2026. Offshore activity will again fare better than onshore work, particularly in deepwater plays.  
Article
February
Saudi Aramco’s suspension of dozens of jackups continues to reshape the Middle East offshore drilling landscape. This analysis examines how redeployments, cold stacking and shifting investment plans are tightening utilization, pressuring dayrates and redefining global jackup fleet strategy heading into 2026.
Article
February
The Canadian oilpatch always seems to be in flux—if the fundamentals are strong, then there’s political uncertainty or intervention. And when the political support lines up, they are at the mercy of global commodity prices. Still, 2026 is lining up to be a decent year—for now.  
Article
February
The U.S. upstream industry has seen significant improvement in the federal regulatory structure that it must deal with. The outlook for this year suggests that the progress made by the Trump administration will continue and expand. 
Article
February
World Oil marks its 100th year of forecasting with a special February issue featuring in-depth regional and global outlooks for 2026 drilling, production and spending trends. Editor-in-Chief Kurt Abraham reflects on a century of forecasting, and what lies ahead for the upstream sector.
News
February 02, 2026
World Oil marked a milestone in its annual Forecast Breakfast series on Friday, celebrating 100 years of forecasting and its 58th Forecast Breakfast event, with industry leaders offering a clear-eyed view of global energy demand, U.S. shale productivity, regulatory challenges and the year ahead for drilling activity.
News
August 13, 2025
Global oil markets are on track for a record surplus next year as demand growth slows and supplies swell, the International Energy Agency said.
News
July 15, 2025
The U.S. may depart the International Energy Agency without changes to forecasting that Republicans have criticized as unrealistically green, President Donald Trump’s energy chief said.
News
June 12, 2025
U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said it’s “unlikely” the country’s oil production will drop next year, contrary to the expectations released this week by a government agency. The EIA revised down its view of U.S. production Tuesday, anticipating the first drop in output since 2021.
News
June 11, 2025
The Gulf’s rising importance represents a turnaround from the past two decades, when the region took a backseat to the U.S. shale boom. But now tumbling crude prices are hurting shale drillers while major, longer-term Gulf projects are starting to come online. 
Article
February 2025
The outlook for international E&P remains mixed, with a slight gain in drilling expected. Four of eight regions will be up, three will be down, and the Middle East will be flat. South America and the Far East/South Asia are the stand-outs. Offshore activity will fare better than onshore work.   
Article
February 2025
As we do every year at this time, we have just completed our annual winter forecast. And quite frankly, this new forecast is calling for nearly a full repeat of 2024’s performance, in terms of overall activity numbers.
Webcast

Oil & Gas Forecast 2025

February 12, 2025
SLB, NOV
Now in its 99th year, the World Oil Forecast is one of the upstream oil and gas industry's most trusted sources of projections and data relating to global E&P activity. Utilizing data collected from proprietary surveys of governments and operators in the U.S. and worldwide, this definitive industry report includes projections for spending and activity, worldwide drilling and production, and an analysis of political factors impacting the U.S. and international oil and gas industry. Now, more than ever this information will help market leaders make decisions relating to their businesses.
News
January 14, 2025
(Bloomberg) – Global oil markets will face a widening glut in 2026 as OPEC brings back production and output from the US, Canada and Guyana continues to grow, the US government said in its first set of forecasts for next year.
News
October 16, 2024
Enverus industry analysts have released a summary of 3Q24 upstream M&A activity, with the pace of deals significantly slowing in the third quarter of 2024 to just $12 billion in announced deals.
News
October 15, 2024
Oil prices dropped and concerns over supply chain disruption were eased Tuesday after a report that Israel may avoid targeting Iran’s crude infrastructure. Traders’ focus is now turned back to the International Energy Agency’s expectations of a surplus early next year.
News
October 14, 2024
OPEC trimmed its forecasts for oil demand growth this year and next for a third consecutive month as the group belatedly recognizes a slowdown in global fuel use.
News
October 11, 2024
bp Plc expects its net debt to have risen in the third quarter due to lower refining margins and changes to the timing of asset sales. 
News
October 07, 2024
Mike Sommers, president and CEO of the American Petroleum Institute (API), addressed the New Mexico Oil and Gas Association in Santa Fe today, emphasizing the critical role of U.S. energy security amid rising global tensions.
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